Temperature check: alarm as prediction markets lean into weather and climate bets
PolicyWednesday, September 2, 2026The Guardian

Temperature check: alarm as prediction markets lean into weather and climate bets

Climate experts express concern over the rise of online prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, where users are betting on extreme weather events such as heatwaves and temperature fluctuations. They warn that this trend could lead to the "gamification" of climate disasters, potentially undermining serious climate discourse and response efforts.

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